>>146723022
My state only has draftkings :-(

Only giddey can fuck this up for me

need 2 more goals in this sabres game

The total points line for this bulls/hornets game is 258.5 rn. Pretty obvious under bet, should be very safe considering the lack of quality in these teams

>>146723890
they scored 144 in the 1H they can't score 115 in the 2H?

>O 3.5 goals in central FC game
>first half finished 3-0
>defence force gets a red card in the second half
>game still ends 3-0
This is demonic.

>>146723925
Even worse if its close game by the 4Q and both teams starts to foul each other.

>>146723834
38 shots on goal for BUF. PIT keeper had an ~.880 save % coming into this game.

a-league tonight. city vs auckland, two teams that don't concede a lot of goals. last time they played it was 2-2, though.

>>146724048
well there we go. BUF and PIT. 2 of the most reliable overs in the chel

>>146723788

LaVine pls fuck off. Pls...

>>146724079
I went really small on 1+ FHG for Auckland. It’s too hard to bet on this one

newcastle vs bournmouth
btts+o2.5

>>146723711
haha

Isak shot on target @2.0

>>146725195
man great call. i took btts

i don't bet but if i did i would go texans to cover and merab moneyline

>>146725647
Yah Adelaide/ victory looks good for goals and I might put a correct score bet on Sydney, they could win by 4-0 or 5-0 I think

Reminder that the ravens opponents were
>stoolers twice
>browns twice
>raiders which they lost
>5th game of his career bix nood
>the bungles twice
>the chorgers

>>146725997
And the Christmas Texans who wanted to go home

Any Ausfags here? Give me something to bet on today. 10 bucks. Cheers

>>146726051
Heat beat renegades

>>146726084
Done. Thanks mate

>>146725997
Reminder that the Bills opponents were:
>the 5-12 Jets twice
>the 4-13 Patriots twice
>the 8-9 Dolphins twice
>the 3-14 Titans
>the 4-13 Jaguars
>the 6-11 49ers
>the 8-9 Cardinals
Woweee soooo impressive - they totallyyy faced sooo much better opponents than the Ravens

>>146726200
They beat the choofs and the wions tho

>>146726084
how sure are you of this? i don't know anything about cricket.

>>146726229
10 dollar bettor here
Heat doing better this season than renegades. Renegades bottom of the ladder.

>>146726246
>>146726084
From what I can see money came in on Renegades and now they are the favorites.

>>146726212
Yes.. and the Ravens beat the Bills 35-10 and beat the Buccaneers 41-31

>>146726284
Go for it :-)

>>146726284
also Heat was 1.80 and Renegades 2.00 when I put bet on - now odds are reversed. Just means some big player dumped a load on Melbourne because they are at home

>>146726291
Lost to da chiefs tho. While da bills beat them

>>146726284
No renegades won the toss and will bowl, that’s what made that change. Renegades are really bad outside of Roger’s and brown. Heat are the champs playing for their whole season and have been really unlucky in tight matches. Heat will crush them imo

>>146726385
Thanks for the clarification pal

>>146726356
when evaluating whether one team is more likely to beat another, which is more important
>if the team already beat them by 25 points
OR
>if the team beat the Chiefs
also:
Ravens total rushing yards this season: 3,189
Ravens total passing yards this season: 4,189
Bills total rushing yards this season: 2,230
Bills total passing yards this season: 3,938
7,224 vs 6,105 -- Ravens 18% more

how do you read the score in cricket?

>>146726624
wickets down / runs scored

>>146726490
dropping 48 44 and 30 on the lions rams and chiefs is more impressive than meaningless run padding. if the ravens offense was so amazing and their defense so elite why couldnt they beat the chiefs or even the iggles lol

>>146726654
so brisbane haven't scored any runs?

>>146726704
No idea. Not watching it

>>146725701
I bet on Sydney and they're 1 down.

Not looking good.

>>146726704
yes they have
42 runs for no batsmen out

>>146726752
i took sydney to win + O2.5 goals, instead of btts/O2.5 because brisbane didn't score in 4 of their last 5 or something like that.

>>146726774
0-2 now

it's fucked

>>146726792
sure looks like it. that shit show from sydney last time out should have been the warning.

i should have just taken 2 1H goals

damn i bet on total games in marozsan/sonego and sonego is choking a 2nd tie break.

in 6 straight league matches now and in 7 of their past 8 newcastle went into halftime leading. across all competitions that record is currently 8 straight matches and 9/10 leading at halftime. for bournemouth, they have only scored a goal in the first half of a game 7/21 times this season and 3/11 times while on the road. they have one of the worst records at half time while playing on the road in the premier league at 2W 3D 6L after 45 minutes.
half time result - newcastle @ 2.10

Umpires are locking this is for the Heat
That fat cunt brown has to bowl another over kek
No way they lose this imo

UFC 311 Saturday 1/19

Last minute change with Tsarukyan pulling out, still a fun card tho

>Turcios +225 vs Sopaj
Turcios is not good, but he has an unorthodox, awkward style that is tough to deal with. Sopaj suffered one of the most brutal KO's you'll ever see in his last fight. I see no reason Sopaj should be such a large favorite here, similar to last week when C-Rod was +220 vs Bashi.

>CDF +200 vs Dawson
Dawson is boring and chinny. CDF is well past his prime but still has enough power to put Dawson away. Zero sub losses for CDF in a long career, so I'm not worried about Dawson grabbing a choke if it goes to the ground. Worth a play on the more dynamic striker.

>Guskov vs Elekana over 1.5 rounds -125
Guskov is an exciting fighter and Elekana is an unknown. Possible this one ends quickly, I'm going the other way. Over 1.5 rounds anywhere close to even money is generally a good bet in UFC, where nearly 60% of fights end by decision and something like 80% go over 1.5 rounds.

>Bekdev -192 vs Reese
Reese sucks. That's my analysis. Bekdev just needs to avoid the quick heem and he'll cruise to a decision win

>Barcelos +675 vs Talbott
Pure value play. Talbott being such a huge favorite against a veteran who has faced killers is absurd. Talbott is hittable, Barcelos has at least a 25% chance while odds imply half that.

>Holland +102 vs de Ridder
Everyone knows the gameplan for both. Holland will be too athletic for RDR, keep it standing and pick him apart to win by KO/DEC. Always a sub threat from RDR, I just think his standup game is too bad. It's like Holland vs Maia.

>Spivac +370 vs Almeida
Spivac is a mental midget, still a live dog here. Almeida is a one trick pony and Spivac is competent enough on the ground to stay alive and have a chance.

>Jiri vs Jamahal fight ends by KO -225
Small chance Jiri goes for a sub, overwhelmingly likely this ends with a KO.

1/2

>>146726824
now the worry is if marozsan will win 1 game this set

>>146727177

>Merab +5.5 -115 vs Umar
Point spread bet. Lots of disrespect toward Merab in the betting market. I think this is a close fight. Merab just needs to win one round convincingly then be close in a couple others for this to hit. Champ always gets questionable judges decisions.

>Islam by KO/TKO +175 vs Moicano
Love Moicano, was glad to see him get the short notice title shot. He's getting killed though. Most people expect a sub, but I think Islam puts him away on the feet. Moicano has taken a lot of damage the last few years. Moicano has been finished by all the title-level guys he's faced except old man RDA.

>Jiri + Umar ML parlay +184
Minor hedge against my Merab +5.5 bet with a possible middle in a 48-47 Umar win or a split decision

alexander isak over 0.5 shots on target
mo salah over 0.5 shots on target
team to get the most corners - psv
race to 5 corners - psv
psv money line
kansas city chiefs money line
detroit lions money line
5 leg parlay @ 3.10

im excited to see how this goes wrong

>>146727151
you think so?

>>146727368
Yeah brown is out. We are good from here

Need some winners, me being able to eat over the weekend depends on my picks for UFC tomorrow. Any ideas?

>>146727436
looks like they are going to win actually

the book has leganes getting clean sheeted at a close to 60% implied probability, btts heavily favoring no. looking at the team goals the book is giving atleti about a 60% implied probability of scoring 2 goals. atleti currently on a 15 match winning streak across all competitions while leganes has lost 3 straight at home.

atleti @ 1.50

but lets say you want to make things a little interesting,

atleti -1 @ 1.930, if they only win by 1 its a push but if they reach that 60% implied probability of scoring twice then this hits. leganes is the 2nd lowest scoring side in la liga when playing at home, and tied for 3rd lowest scoring side overall.

>>146727527
melbourne cruising to a win

>>146727527
Mcjerk has been a joke all season and has turned into the best player in the world for no reason
Rip

>>146727608
lesson learned.

Lamar Jackson

Btts
>Utrecht x AZ
>Wehen x Verl

max £10 bet available on Isak having at least 1 shot on target, get on it lads

League 1 fag here, Huddersfield are overpriced as fuck today away at Blackpool
>Blackpool won twice at home all season
>Huddersfield unbeaten in 15 games
>pushing for automatic promotion
>just signed two new strikers with a point to prove
Odds as high as 2.7 on exchanges to win, or 1.94 draw no bet if you're a bit of a fag. Just over an hour till kick off

footy for today, and a Dancing on Ice bet. I picked Sam because it's mostly males who win dancing on ice, with the average age being early 30s.

>>146728723
hes scored last 8 (?) in a row
record is Vardy @ 11
gotta be a free tenner innit

>>146728723
Odds of 2 for Isak to score or assist on skybet as well, worth a punt or underlay even

>>146729116
yeah, you can always win on those shows

>>146729132
:(

Need some ufc bets and Ass - Villa bet over 1.5x thinking both teams to get booked and some shots on target or something idk

You guys pay attention to this type of signs? I wanted to throw a little something on QPR to at least score away at Plymouth, but look at these results
The sequence shows that this game will end 0-0

Bologna - Monza O2.5
Juve - Milan BTTS
Atalana - Napoli O1.5

THOUGHTS??

>>146729595
I used to but usually they don't work.
Draw or btts is a good bet

here is a safe(ish) premier league bet for later

>>146730248
not a fan desu
Juventus and Napoli are untrustworthy imo

>>146728943
that cardiff v swansea game had me sweating for a bit!

>Isak 0 shots on target
Bookies always win

>Think I finally won a bet with Khris Middleton getting 8 A+R on his O7.5 line when I checked scores this morning
>Log in to realize that I had forgotten that I got it late after the line got bumped from O7.5 to O8.5

My soul

>isak scores 8 games in a row
>bookie offers superboost for a simple shot on target
>suddenly Newcastle get battered and Isak can't shoot

Surely this is a fix

>>146730248
>Bologna - Monza O2.5
i took BTTS here @ -105. for as shit as monza is, they have consistently scored goals.

need a kiel goal. would help if they could get their shots on target.

WTF PSV

and of course liverpool and brentford are slurping

KC DET PHI ML parlay still around even. i know you dont like it, but this is free money

Crazy how there hasnt been a goal in this Liverpool game.

>>146731890
i was going to take BTTS/O2.5 in newcastle/bournemouth and changed my mind to the liverpoool game because of all the clean sheets newcastle had lately

>>146731890
no goals in a soccer match? thats impossible

>>146731978
Imagine if we could bet in time of ads during American entertainment events. Now that would be free money

>>146731875
i dont trust philly

did the chiefs cover a spread of 8 points at all during the regular season?

Fullham goal siuuuu now all I need is liverpool and Crystal not lose

>>146732054
no and thats why they cover it today

juventus-milan BTTS? is pulisic injured?

>>146732054
did it a few times but it doesnt really matter. if its not a blowout early KC will play conservative and HOU covers.

what the fuck is wrong with nunez?

>>146732137
I have money on that but now looking back at it Juve 1x looks better. They have not lost a Seria a game this season

>>146732201
i'm looking at them having conceded in 5 of their last 6 home games, twice in 4 of those games. and milan has scored in its last 6 away games.

>>146731999
almost as guaranteed as betting on a third worlder to seethe about america unprompted

>>146732238
Their previous game 2 weeks ago also had btts but Italian teams are known scammers. Before that match they played 0-0 0-0 0-1
BTTS still looks good but If i had to remake my bet I would take 1x

>>146732340
post your ugly brown hand so we can laugh at it, fish fucker

146732375
Man you are not funny or smart for that matter. That's enough attention you are getting from me.

oh of course liverpoop finally break through just to twist the knife

Bet your wage on Barcelos
Bet your house on Moicano

>>146732419
>too afraid to reply directly
you are scared and brown lmao
aren’t you the retard to posts losing bets and then asks for other people to make bets for him?

All pl games ended 0-2 all scored in second half. Nothing to see here goy

>>146732421
Just one of those games. If there was an early goal this ends like 3-4, even without it it had the chance to do so.
Still a good bet

>>146732505
The games started at the same time also. Someone powerful had a 3 game parlay for 0-2 kek

>>146732653
And
Liverpool Away
Fulham Away
Crystal Palace Away

Away teams bring in more money for bets.

I've made back 78% of the money I lost on that shit cunt Isak with the Liverpool game

Thoughts on Arsenal?

>>146732849
According to today's script all away teams win

>>146732867
You must remember that Arsenal are the media darling

Maybe the mutt is right, maybe adsball is the way to go

its a "losing 40 euros worth of free bets on PSV" kind of day

i guess juve and milan and going for the goal, but some great chances wasted there and you wonder now about the goals.

0-0 Italian trash scammer mafia

>>146733119
Obviously I’m right. Don’t bet soccer. The result is too often decoupled from the run of play

portugal is absolutely seething lmao

Are all of you Americans actually betting on soccer? Or is this just people from other countries spoofing their location?

>>146733497
Only retarded third worlders bet on soccer

>>146733497
i do better on soccer than i do on football so it is not a hard decision for me.

>>146733497
One look at a /bet/ thread should tell you everything you need to know about betting soccer lol

>>146727177
>>146727216
Cheers UFCanon tailing Holland and Bekdev

>>146733119
Americans and especially the "don't bet X" crowd are extra retarded. There's only one American who makes money and he just bets on mispriced odds given to him by oddsjam or whatever. Nothing exposes people's lack of betting knowledge than thinking one thing is inherently bad to bet on.

>>146733497
I occasionally bet on soccer, but this is just because I find it fun to watch / there is no action until later in the evening for NBA where I can actually bet with positive EV
Not because I think I'm going to win the soccer bet / think that the bet has any edge or positive EV
I bet ~ half my normal wager sizing on soccer, because I 100% expect to lose the bet, and anytime that I win the bet it's just pure luck
This is more so an indication of my betting degeneracy than anything else

third worlders will really have an entire thread of losing soccer bets and then turn around and say soccer isn’t inherently bad to bet on

>>146733729
what is bizarre is someone from the US calling anyone else third world.

>>146733795
go back
whatever country, whatever website
you gotta go back

>>146733661
Soccer is extremely difficult to find value spots. It genuinely is the worst major sport to bet

>>146734041
*bet wins*
*euros seethe about Americans*
Rinse and repeat x1000

>>146734024
i got monza-bologna BTTS for -105 just this morning.

btts/O2.5 in the darmstadt-dusseldorf match was at +120 at one point yesterday

>>146734024
That's because you think soccer is just the major leagues. Yes, they're all as correctly priced as the NFL and NBA. There are hundreds of leagues. It's the easiest sport to find value on in that regard.

>>146733661
there are lots of things that are bad to bet on. the vig on most player props is over 20% in all sports

i'm on dunkerque-lorient O2.5 @ +100

Juve 1X > BTTS

>>146734237
yeah. you were right. still time, i guess.

>>146719764
Satuday games

>Pioneros de Cancún vs Faraones de Texcoco
Pioneros @ 2.2
>Deportiva Venados vs Acatlán
Acatlán @ 4.6
>Tigres de Álica vs Mineros de Fresnillo
Tigres @ 1.62
>Lobos ULMX vs Correcaminos UAT
Correcaminos @ 4
>Tritones Vallarta vs Mexicali
Tritones @ 1.48
>Gavilanes vs Aguacateros Uruapan
Gavilanes @ 1.88

why the hell did i bet on BTTS instead of just on juve

>>146734359
they've been conceding goals pretty consistently the last couple months, but milan look bad without pulisic. everything has to run through leao.

>>146723667
Is there any place I can do online betting for ufc311 or do I gotta go to the casino?

>>146734169
>its the easiest sport to find value
Yet you lot consistently lose 1.6 odds bets lmao

>>146734680 (You)
Shit forgot to mention I'm in Washington state so I cant use draftkings

>>146734680
Which state? Every state is different

>>146734748
In WA you can use an app but you have to be physically on casino property. Even the parking lot works but you’ll have to drive. If you’re in Vancouver you can use Draftkings if you drive across the river into Oregon

>>146734169
> It's the easiest sport to find value on in that regard.
yet you lose nearly every bet?

>>146734110
O2.5 rennes-brest was +125, just cashed.

>mfw 11.01% profit today
>mfw arsenal early payout

Thinking about Barcelona

>>146736027
-230, away, negative slurper like getafe. if i bet on it, it will lose.

>>146736027
got my 3 arse bets all cash out and got a 20 bucks bonus in free bets

Take chiefs team total over 26 and the alt spread of 14.5

brutal slurper in hamburg

>>146736773
chefs -14.5?

>>146733661
Its not necessarily bad, but some sports are harder than others.

>>146726084
That worked out well :(

Final bets for 311?
Im thinking
Diego Ferreira sub/ko
Payton Talbott KO
Spivac sub or ko round 1/2
Jamahal Hill Ko or fight doesnt go the distance
Nurmagomedov ko/sub
Islam Moicano under 3.5

>>146738940
I was mad all night because of that
I’m doing ok this morning but I’m still cut up about that

Happy to announce I DID NOT bet on Barcelona :)

God I love Trinidad league.
You can basically bet on goals in any match rn

>>146720548
2 losses and 1 win. Technically 3 losses with the dumb Raducanu sprinkle. Was 100% convinced Swiatek would win 2-0 which is why I did that because when I'm too convinced of something lately it tends to fail. Only thing that worked was the Keys 2-0 which was very obvious. Will probably keep fading Collins going forward because I think her form has been very questionable for a longer while now and she has to grind out wins against complete shitters like Snigur. Her early 2024 form has completely evaporated. Cristian fell apart after a promising set and a half. Maybe I'm underestimating Lys a bit but she also hasn't been playing particularly amazing tennis. Just sort of decent enough to get past other shitters. Marozsan completely capitulated after a close first 2 sets and couldn't do anything anymore in the third and fourth set. I have an awful habit of picking the kind of players who tend to run out of gas in these bo5 conditions.

In general my picks for AO have been absolutely piss poor. The favourites disappointed and the underdogs rarely even put up a real fight. Just terrible. I'm going to stop now because it's not getting any better. Every day I think I might have learned from my mistakes but I just keep forcing bad pick after bad pick and making atrocious judgment calls with bad reads on odds being "worthwhile" to back. I've been struggling at slams and thought I could turn it around but it keeps getting worse. This is my last lengthy AO post unless I see something absolutely crazy but this late into the draws that's probably not going to happen and even if it did I would pick the wrong side anyway. Maybe I'll post a few things about smaller tournaments near the end of January but I might just be done in general because these last few months have been more than rough and I feel like a complete mug, probably because I am one. Sorry for all the blogposts about bad picks and sorry if anybody tailed the shit I posted for AO. Going to shut up for now.

God damn it Pacheco fucked me
Chiefs decided to run with Kareem Hunt the whole second half, Hunt had 44 rushing

I hope no one needed the Chiefs -9.5 as the final leg lol

>>146734680
>>146734748
>>146734784
sounds like you could spoof your GPS and be fine

Manchester United to beat Brighton is free money

They have the white Messi in their team

>>146745181
jesus christ

How about oilers smash Vancouver? I’ll try that

>>146745181
ooof lions

total got bail by overtime hawks/celtics

>>146745181
i wonder how many "don't bet on soccer" guys are getting crushed on this lions game

>>146749893
i am taking the over on it

Damn lions finna boutta lose lol

>>146750997
If you think about it rationally it will pave the way to an easier win for the Rams in the semi finals and vegas get more money so its a win win
Enjoy the script

>>146740157
Good luck for the rest of the day anon

I have come to the conclusion that the anons mocking me for stat analysis for playoffs as foolish is correct
Regular season, stats matter
Playoffs, the script is all that matters
You were right - I kneel

>>146749893
Haha ok

>/bet/: lions will btfo skins
>skins btfo lions
>/bet/: it will be cold in detroit so bet the under
>the over is easily hit in the first half
but it's soccer that you shouldn't bet
fucking mugs

>>146750252
i was going to be up 25% on the month but now itll only be 11%

>>146750314
should have put way more money it. 3 goals in the 1st and edmonton hasn't even scored yet. i wouldn't be surprised if this one cashes in the 2nd.
>>146754224
detroit plays in the domed stadium so the weather is not a factor for their games. but detroit has had games all season where their defense gives up big plays.

Speaking of soccer another dumb club from a dumb league should get 2fhg for me in a few hours.
Hong Kong rangers/ Lee man warriors

>>146754224
Its not a sport its entertainement see >>146751914

>>146754654
draftkings has it listed, but they won't let me bet on 1H goals straight. they are only offering odds/even, correct score, etc.

haaland any time goal tomorrow

>>146754654
damn hong kong warriors beat lee man warriors 4 years ago.

>>146754654
last season if i remember correctly the hong kong league streamed a lot of their games on their own website, but the website is only in chinese and google translate doesnt really work so if you are willing to navigate around the website you can maybe find the stream.

>>146751914
>>146754664
b-but that's just AI saying that, you chudcel conspiracy theorist
grok was just trained on bad data
i won't believe what you posted until it's been fact checked by certified fact checkers from snopes and reuters tyvm very much

>>146755442
NTA but i miss when the ABL (aussie baseball) was on YT last season or the one before

I am now convinced, despite every part of my rational brain that tells me otherwise, that the Rams **will** win tomorrow
The script demands it
Seriously considering cancelling my Eagles -5.5, Hurts 1+ TD, to change now to Rams to win

>>146755670
Americans will come here later and do a mental gymnastic to justify the script

>>146756205
Do it,bet all on the Rams they will only lose if the nfl gets a call from vegas and betting sites saying they will have a loss of profit if the Rams win so see first if the sheeple are backing the eagles
I also would go with the bills but they can lose to the ravens cause of the meme black qb propaganda

>>146756421
they unironically probably will do the same thing as WWE fans
that it's okay to fix the matches because it's exciting and still a sport

Remind me again why the script says that the Rams will win

UFC anons, why is Merab +220
I understand that Umar is undefeated, but looking at his opponents fight history, it's not like his opponents were all top tier stellar fighters
I can understand Umar being a favorite, but a -270 favorite?
What am I missing
>>146756906
Los Angeles wildfires story arc

Islam Mak. parlay
20+ strikes
1.5 Rounds over
Islam ML
+150 odds with boost, should be relatively safe unless he knocks his opponent out early in R1

>>146756626
>meme black qb propaganda
probably the worst thing that happened this season

>>146756906
LA fires and they are the only team porweful enough scriptely speaking to be able to win against the chiefs

>>146757104
QBs nowadays are glorified running backs

Reminder that the Yankees lost the World Series just a month after 9/11 vs a team that if dissapeared today no one would notice it

go rasm and bills

>>146754224
also /bet/ was like "it's cold so bet on rushing yards not passing yards"

>>146757751
>>146757751
tho tbqhwy i say /bet/ but i think it was just the one anon actually
still makes me think maybe i should just fae everything i see on /bet/

japan and australia basketball in a few minutes. fuck so tired.

alright let's get this 6th goal in vancouver already

Who had the biggest bet on the Redskins?

>>146757978
please watch our sport
>>146758122
idk but giwtwm

>>146758122
by giwtwm i mean i wish i had the biggest bet not giw i was your picrel
i don't post on /r9k/ /soc/ or /lgbt/

asia hockey league: HL Anyang moneyline vs Red Eagles Hokkaido
>>146758191
i watched sydney vs brisbane. bet on sydney ml and got btfo.

>>146758191
>giwtwm
fr
I am a chicken wanted to bet the +8.5 side. But then I thought it would be rigged for the Lions anyway.

>>146758029
actually getting pessimistic now

>>146758377
open net in 2min mark

>>146758440
edmonton's a good possession team though

failed. fuck that makes me so fucking made. i am literally going to start cashing out every bet.

>>146736027
>arsenal early payout
Wow bookies must be kicking themselves with this offer lol I wonder how often it happens

>>146756989
>I can understand Umar being a favorite, but a -270 favorite?
It was a bookie trap
MMA is the easiest sport to lay traps. A guy with hype gets easily backed by the public.

>>146759004
i thought all bookies offer early payout for football.

>>146759126
Not all

Few days ago me mom sent me 100 after i explained how panathinaikos were leading 0-2, but with no early payout the other team scored out no where to make it 1-2, then our stupid goalkepper headbutted a player and the ref sent him off AND gave a penalty so i lost all my money. From that 100 i made 1.3k before losing it all obviously, with disallowed goals, crossbars, and missed pens. Wish i could bet with meal tickets, but this morning i had to ask for 50 more ron. Went on this combo: djokovic and geng 2:0 . Should make it 75, then today there ARE some gems, with a proper bankroll you can hurt the bookie.
>Heerenveen - Ajax @1.60
Away win. I rate Ajax since the additions of Henderson, Klaassen and Bobo Weghorst. Or Berghuis returning from injury. Might be biased against Heerenveen and it's an away game, but with PSV droping points last night, surely brings Ajax in motivated spirits.
>Gil Vicente v FC Porto @1.40
Probably Porto won't be cunts this time and stay in the title race. Saw Gil Vicente a while back, they're shite
>Ipswich - City @1.40
They probably took the new year's resolution for real, they seem to be back to winning ways
>the free money bet. Fenerbahce @1.18
Much mockery has been made of this expression. First some anons using it wrong, others straight up lying that free money bets lose 90% of the time. Had to pull out the archives, and yes, the only crime i'm guilty of is losing like 5 free money bets in 100. Adana demirspor changed all their squad this season, Mou won't drop points here, especially with galatasaray choking this round
Add next to it
>Inter @1.25 v Empoli
At home. Another day at the office
Will update

if you had to pick a BTTS/O2.5 would you go with paderborn-hertha or karlsruhre-nurnberg?

>>146756989
>>146759115
Let's go!!

>>146759466
Don't spend it all in one place
but seriously
congrats

I didn't know the odds till I saw them when the fight was starting.

Serious disrespect

Btw i work as a cart pusher now. Pay isn't great, but is a flexible schedule, you can check the games if you want, plus you get the ocassional coin left in the cart

After i get the salary, you already know: resignation, and starting the new m-m-m-monster bankroll

>>146760141
i found a cart with a coin in it recently but when i had to dump it the only cart rack around had no carts in it so i couldn't get the coin out

>all underdogs but the chiefs win
Sneaky nfl

>>146760530
y-yeah well that's just because it was a fluke and it's literally impossible to win any single soccer bet chud

No one who bets on soccer consistently here has EVER posted their profit charts

At best, you're all breaking even

No one who bets on le strawman here has EVER posted their profit charts

At best, you're all breaking even

>>146760875
Here's a profit chart
*unzips*

i asked for a profit chart not a stream gyp

>>146760530
Omg that was my bet. I'm getting roasted. I had a terrible night. I'm pretty much just doing simulated gambling at this point. I'm spamming 10¢ bets, with some $1-$5 bets mixed in.

>>146760664
Nobody here has tried to argue that it's impossible to win a single soccer bet..
Only that compared to other sports, it is much more difficult to find a consistent edge, to win bets consistently
You EU / AU anons take this way too personally, that we are attacking your sport, attacking your way of life
Many of us enjoy watching soccer, we just find it very difficult to find positive EV in, compared to NFL / NBA / College Football / College Basketball
If you have methods / systems / statistic analysis that aids you in finding positive EV, we are literally all ears
To me, I have never seen a single post from any EU anon, any AU anon, explaining with statistics why a bet in soccer has positive EV
It is always "Such and such team sucks" "It's going to be raining and the field conditions will be bad" "Such and such team just got a new manager"
And don't get me wrong, this is valuable info, but this is not how you develop a betting system that consistently wins over the long run
I also agree (not proudly, just it's the reality of the situation) that the number of soccer bets that people post here, relative to the number of soccer wins that are posted here, is the lowest % wise out of all the sports..

Meh cashout instead of letting it ride.

>>146761326
>it is much more difficult to find a consistent edge, to win bets consistently
>we just find it very difficult to find positive EV in
diagnosis: skill issue
prescription: get good

>>146761326
You're 100% right.Only soccer bets I see get posted here are losers.

Check this prop bet out:
>>146730560

It ended up losing somehow lol and if I told you what the odds were, you'd have a heart attack

>>146761517
>You're 100% right. Only soccer bets I see get posted here are losers.
suck his fucking dick more you blind faggot then QQ about not betting on O3.5
>>146712691

>>146761590
Post your weekly wins chart homie

>>146761482
Okay anon - prove me wrong, show your last 10 soccer bets record, show your all time betting P/L
I'll wait
As said, if you have a strategy for finding positive EV in soccer betting, we are all ears
If you do have an actual system for betting on soccer with positive EV, we are totally willing to try it
If you post yours, I'll post mine

>>146761326
>To me, I have never seen a single post from any EU anon, any AU anon, explaining with statistics why a bet in soccer has positive EV
Fucking bollocks. I posted plenty of tips like this over the years, it's just proof you never read any of them

>>146761667
>>146761722
bookie is only legally obligated to give me monthly records and post yours faggots

>>146761765
I took your Dinamo bet that one time, and won off of it - and thanked you for it
However, you're still not answering with statistics, with in-depth analysis, of why to take this bet
Posting tips / betting ideas is the not the same thing as posting analysis / statistics as to why you are taking a bet, why you think the bet has positive EV - regardless if the bet wins (or not!)
I'm interested in the math that you think demonstrates a bet has positive EV, not the "feels" - and as said, the "feels" info is still important and relevant, but not how you develop a consistent winning system

>>146761823
How would posting our records prove that betting on soccer is profitable and +EV?

Ever heard of burden of proof amigo?

>Hey guise bet on Chelsea to beat Whoeverwampton at 1.45 odds
>It ends 0-0
>Proceeds to cry in the general

Well Hong Kong sucks
Dare I try cricket again?? I think so
Wi

>>146761883
Whoeverhampton have a pretty good keeper desu

>>146761823
Okay - here are mine, the three bookies I use, DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics; my standard bet size is $10, which I understand is peanuts to many of the bettors here - but at least I am profitable on all 3
Now post yours
>inb4 excuses as to why you can't post it

>>146761883
>How would posting our records prove that betting on soccer is profitable and +EV?
i'm obviously talking about burger sports you fucking autist
>Ever heard of burden of proof amigo?
yes that's why i'm telling you to post up or shut up
>le greentext
post one post i made where i've said that

>>146762037
>>inb4 excuses as to why you can't post it
see
>>146761823
>bookie is only legally obligated to give me monthly records
also the bookie doesn't give me a monthly record divided by sport so i obviously can't when i bet on a bunch of different shit

>>146761871
This is a sport where stats don't matter. If you're talking in-game stats they are irrelevant because any weak ass shot is counted as a chance to score, while this is a game to be efficient, to be cunning etc. If you're talking about h2h from years ago, again it doesn't matter because there's different players, different time in the season a fixture is played. Even weather is important, yes. Tbh if you think you can create a model for basketball for example, based on stats, why do you think it'd be better than the bookies'? Btw i'm not an advocate for "soccer", it's fucking gay, i agree, for the reason that the referees ruin the bets by disallowing the goals with VAR, allowing time wasting and not giving enough extra time. Would've been better if the games wouldn't end in a draw when the fucking pig blows the whistle at exactly 4:00 minutes of extra time, and instead have them play the over time and penalties, like hockey. Not this way where the cocksucker adds 4 minutes of extra time so he can go home, while there was a 2 minute VAR check. In conclusion, soccer betting is ruined by refs and time wasting, so you are probably right about it but for the wrong reasons

>>146762146
Oh here we go.. the excuses begin..
Certainly you can go through your settled betting slips from this month, screenshot all the winning bets you've placed on soccer, compile them into one image, and post it here
You could even cherry pick, and hide / not post all the ones that you've lost, to make it look like you've won more than you've lost
You can also just post your monthly stat screenshot, and then breakdown which of them were placed on soccer, which you placed on sports outside of soccer
But you won't do this, will you...
The excuses as to why you can't will continue
Shameful, very shameful anon.
I showed you mine as you insisted, and now you will not show yours. I am not impressed.
Put up, or shut up :^)
>inb4 even more excuses

>post post made before "inb4 le excuses"
>"the excuses begin"
have you considered learning about time and tense
do you want me to borrow your time machine so i can go back and type up a spreadsheet to satisfy your autism

>>146762257
No, I don't want you to type up a spreadsheet. Anyone can enter into Excel "I won $1,000,000 on XYZ game at +10,000 odds!!"
I want you to take screenshots of your winning bet slips, the odds of these wagers that you won / lost, and/or screenshots of your monthly stats - how much you've wagered, how much you've won.
A spreadsheet is completely worthless. Even the screenshots, you could easily just find a bunch of winning slips posted elsewhere on the internet and claim them as your own.
But even this you won't do. Deep down, you'll know that this is what you did, and you knowing that is enough.
I'm going to bed now as it's 3:00am EST, but I look forward to waking up tomorrow and seeing these screenshots from you.
As a betting man, I would be willing to wager $50 at -1000 odds that you will not post anything of the sort, as you, me, and everyone else reading this knows that you are not profitable, if you are continuing to make excuses, and not just posting it in the first place.
Goodnight.

>bro just do it for free
you first fag
it was you retards who started all this bullshit about soccer being impossible to profit from
the burden of proof is on you

>just take screencaps
it's neg EV to go through all my bets, screencap just the soccer ones, tally the the total bet, tally the profit or loss
you would know that if you were a >betting man
but you're just a faggot

>>146762407
>you first
I literally already did. You asked me to post them, I did. >>146762037
Now you are continuing to make excuses as to why you yourself can't. This is getting pathetic Aussie anon.
>>146762430
Lmao. Okay. Let the record show that you bitched non-stop about how soccer is sooo profitable to bet on, that you're sooo profitable, but when push came to shove, I showed my (profitable) stats screenshots, and you are refusing, making excuse after excuse why you are unable to.
This is getting very, very sad. I feel bad for you.

Did Shaneeqa L'Sneed was injured in the latest game of college football for the american to be like this?

>>146763259
Worse. Treshawn Jackson hit only 22 40 (yards)

as of now I hate all japanese

What happened to the Chiefs, Lions, Eagles parlay?

>>146759324
the answer is apparently neither of them and definitely not both

>>146764774
We’ve said multiple times not to bet on parlays you retarded fishfucker

>>146762430
holy deflection and cope
you can’t post any sunny screenshots because you don’t have any
stupid abo

>>146766696
>dont bet on parlays
>dont bet on soccer
>dont bet on shitty odds
Show me two bets you have made today

75 went on this 5-fold, with Fener, City, Inter, Porto and G2 from LOL

>>146767187
get fucked loser

>>146767300
will be interesting to see which one of them blows it

>>146767929
Are you on these?

>>146768336
i took fenerbahce, city, and inter. i also took an eredivisie goals bet at + money, and maybe the bookies knew what they were doing on that one.

>>146767883
lmao you bet on third worlders
and you lose

>>146769241
>i also took an eredivisie goals bet at + money, and maybe the bookies knew what they were doing on that one.
maybe spoke too soon. 1-1 in the fortuna sittard match. BTTS/O2.5 was +130

>>146769352
3rd worlders need those games to survive, those highschoolers only party and look at instagram. I know who i want my money on

i'm on O2.5 @ -125 in Bremen-Augsburg

>>146769530
post more losing soccer parlays with shit odds so we can laugh at you, fishfucker

>>146769602
already 1 goal

>>146769711
yes and it was from augsburg. great start.

fenerbahce needs to cash in already.

>>146769844
I need Adana to hold till 2h.
Got -3.5 @ 1.95.

>>146769844
They hit the crossbar...
>>146769530
What do you think of porto?

just like that I’ve already won enough to go and get a six pack to drink while watching real sports later
This might be more than all of you third worlders combined have won in the past week

>>146769938
you don't get any points for hitting the woodwork

>>146770104
City in the bag

>>146769726
red card for augsburg

need a goal in each of the sittard and eindhoven matches

goal fener

>>146770581
VAR strikes again. they took it back. goal in the sittard match, though.

>>146770611
Stolen by a dumb and incompetent ref

What an absolute disgrace to disallow this goal. The fener player played the ball first before the "foul". Testimony to this will be Mourinho's rant after the game. I'm not making this shit up

red card in the fenerbahce match. we'll see if they VAR it. turkish league is a bit smelly teebeeaitch

>ball hitting the post
>wrongly disallowed goal
Only a missing pen needed to complete the trifecta

>>146770610
there is the eindhoven goal. i don't rate emmen desu

>>146770787
How i lost my money in the galatasaray match the other day

>>146770890
lol you have got to be joking

See? I never EVER betted on a game and that team wouldn't be able to score the needed goal or at least having several impossible to miss chances. It was always these fucking idiots taking the ball out of the net

oh you have GOT to be kidding me. they took away another fenerbahce goal for a foul in the build up

fucking VAR again cucking fener

i am considering cashing this parlay out for a 3 dollar loss. something fishy is going on here.

>>146734312
So far I've hitter 4/8 with a 15% loss

For Sunday:
>Montañeses vs Atlético Aragón
Montañeses @ 1.36
>Real Apodaca vs Tuzos UAZ
UAZ @ 2.75

anyone else like marseille-strasbourg for goals?

are they going to take this one away too?

finally fener

didnt cashout this time and let it ride.

two shots off the post in the last 5 minutes in bremen-augsburg

Easy money?

I like fun bets like this

>>146754224
Detroit plays indoors. No one mentioned the weather in Detroit

The Rams rig is in
>pic related
Offering +465 on a wager that should be offering +980
Placed instead:
>Rams moneyline
>Stafford 1+ passing TD
>Barkley most rushing yards
+600, 50% boost +900

really did not expect bremen to be the drag in this O2.5

Another example of what free money means. Not United at 2.20 v Brighton, or Lamar Jackson running yards. There's hunches, and more confident tips, there's also supposed locks, but at the very top of the list is "free money". It means when something can't go the other way. On an event with importance. Like Djokovic against Makenzie MacDonald at a grand slam semi final. Even if he losses the first set, and his prematch odds of 1.01 go to 1.20, it's still free money. Like Porto at home at 1.15 to win the title in the last game of the season against Rio Ave. The fact that some of us used this term wrong doesn't mean free money doesn't exist. I was absolutely certain mourinho with fenerbahce won't drop points today

GenG, best team in the world in league of legends, when they were taken to map 5 by a north american team. It was like real madrid - inter miami in a quarter final. And before the match everyone predicted 3:0 geng and would've been the biggest surprise in the game's history if they would've got eliminated. Taken to map 5. 1.01 prematch to 1.22

>>146734312
isn't that like third division?
do you have inside info?

Anyone betting on this? Its starting in 30min.

>>146772039
what a dud. bremen had only failed to score in 4 matches all season before this one and augsburg had conceded the 6th most goals in the bundesliga.

Rommy, had a mug moment.

>>146727177
>>146727216
Overall not bad. The +675 hit saved the day. I put everything on Islam-Moicano FDNGD for a nice 15% boost at the end.

>>146772474
I love you

will inter blow it vs empoli?

>>146772643
You're good

>>146772006
doesnt work like that for SGP because the legs arent independent
rams get to 20 first and theyre very likely to win. theres almost zero chance they win without a stafford TD

>>146771674
hurts steals 75% of barkely tds so hes always a bad bet

>>146769938
>What do you think of porto?
that they are shit

took O2.5 in sparta-waalwijk

>>146773049
Ah you're right - I'm dumb
Regardless, I do think the rig is in

>>146773392
gotta be kidding with this shit

PORCO

i fully expect inter to slurp this one away

I lost on G2. Threw the game

damn inter

of course the one T&T game i bet on BTTS both teams don't score

>>146759259
Just the Portuguese game in jeopardy. That seems to be your worst league desu

i need a winner.

Haywood Highsmith U1.5 3s was easy.

>>146777907
Just do 2fhg like me kek it somehow works. Sando -shoutout to Vegas Matt- do seem like the team to avoid tho

>>146776155
All my singles except one on dota hit and i did a miniscule parlay on cs and it failed all i did was check if these frauds still do rigged games and there it is.

>>146778576
i was going to parlay O2.5/BTTS but it looks like i was blocked from sportsbet and the bookie i use now only had 3 or 4 markets
none of them had a market for FHG or even 2HG

>>146779642
Probably a good thing there isn’t much happening in this one.
I’ll try goals in DET/DAL later to make up for it

>>146779738
don't know enough about hockey yet to do that me
same with NBA
keen to learn those 2 and MLB in winter thoughbeit

>>146779738
just so you know, all the teams in the NHL today are on back-to-backs

Cashout 038.5 rams/eagles by then the end of 3Q. Bet O38.5 at the start of 4Q. Broke even.

>>146779816
Yeah later in the year I’ll research women’s nrl as it is expanding with 66 games. I think an emerging sport like that will be full of holes in bookie knowledge

>>146779913
Yeah I thought about that. You figure teams on b2b score less?

>>146780596
based autist
tempted to theorise that 50%+ of the time the winner will be the time with the most dykes on the starting lineup
i'm so brave

>>146780631
i think it came out to like around a quarter of a point less so roughly .33-.5 points less per game with both teams. OTT-NJ put on a real slurper today on a back to back, though both of those teams have been slurping hard recently.

i kind of want to take the over, but i'm not sure yet. right now the goalie for dallas is unconfirmed but i think the assumption is it will be oettinger.

>>146781200
but the oilers also came back down from 3 goals the other night against colorado playing on a back to back, so who knows.

>>146781073
There are wild skill and strength differences and basically none of them can kick a sideline conversion. There is a shitload of gaslighting by the commentators as well which I think helps too.
I’m looking forward to it already kek

>>146781200
5-4 Dallas is my prediction

>>146781405
>basically none of them can kick a sideline conversion
forgot what thread i was in so had to reread the post you replied to and yeah that doesn't surprise me at all

Baltimore kills Buffalo. Bet it now, bet it live, keep betting it at every commercial break

>keep betting it at every commercial break
faded

>>146756989
-270 is the danger zone for UFC favorites. Guys constantly lose in that range

Nuggets with good 2Q. Still trigger that they lost 1Q vs nets few games ago.

looks like an absolutely brutal slurper shaping up in montreal

>>146783408
>3 goals right after i posted this
shows what i know

The owner of a big betting site here died from a helicopter crash.Unsurprisingly he was jewish

Doing 8 giddey assists @$3.20today, no lonzo should help him get there

>>146784737
I took scoot O23.5 PA. Usage increased past 3 games

>>146784829
Tailing
No Simons is big for him I would assume, haven’t followed Portland that much to know

>>146782245
Lol

>>146785075
i regret not hammering the over. got scared off by a big loss on the tampa-wash game, like i didn't have a handle on NFL. had a nice win on the rams kicker today, though.

>>146781452
off to a good start. hopefully detroit can pot a couple.

Glad I took 0215.5 76ers/Bucks during 2Q.

CF Pachua/Mazatlan FC O1.5 1H and O3.5

>>146785540
looks busted unfortunately

>he handed playoff money to lamar jackson and said make me money
Lol

>>146787582
i'm not seeing this.

>>146787932
Mexico Liga Mx Women

any a-league bets tn?

thinking about macarthur ml+o1.5 goals

giddey's assists stalling out in the 2Q

>>146787830
Yeah I only did over 1.5 first period and correct score tho. Over 1.5 fp seems to hit a lot and seems safer than just a general over

>>146787582
Kek I’m doing FH

>>146788290
detroit has gone 0-4 on the powerplay. if they convert just one, this game looks different.

chelsea vs wolves

>btts+o2.5 -133
>chelsea double chance win/draw+btts -125
>chelsea ml+btts +140
>chelsea ml+o2.5 -145


what should i take

for tuesday,
mo salah over 0.5 shots on target + liverpool moneyline
team to have the most corners - stuttgart + stuttgart moneyline
4 leg parlay @ 2.25

>>146788369
well 2 quick goals. not sure if i should cash out for a small loss.

scoot O23.5 PA going to hit.

giddey assists not even close. what kind of point guard is he? i don't think i understand modern basketball at all.

Going 500 chiefs eagles and 500 chiefs commies

>>146788311
they scored lmao

Idk how you bet against the commanders right now Daniel's is white hot

>>146788966
Yeah he is going great
I took him to get 25 might have to keep rolling on him with anfernee out

>>146789246
Yeah a classic 45’+2 special :)

>>146789400
Took O3.5 FT also

who wins here

>>146789384
Bang thanks scoot ty canadanon

>>146788232
That bet looks fine
I feel like just taking 1+ MacArthur FHG, I’ll think about it more

>>146788506
chelsea hasnt been playing very well lately especially since that 0-0 game against everton. 0 wins in their last 5 now, even though in most games they absolutely hammer their opponents, creating more chances, taking more shots, and controlling possession. its almost a bit like watching chelsea from two season ago where it seemed like there was some sort of invisible barrier preventing them from scoring at times. cole palmer and enzo fernandez are questionable for tomorrow. they have also lost to wolves 3 out of the last 4 times they have played. for the odds the book is giving you chelsea isnt really a lock here. but of course now that ive typed this out watch them be up 3-0 by half time.

>>146790675
considering moving my attention to o21.5 games for the navarro/kasatkina game instead at -130

interesting odds for tomorrow
boavista v casa pia, casa pia @ 2.45
so if you calculate the true implied probability without the bookies margin, casa pia has around a 40.5% chance of winning tomorrow, so

1/.405 = 2.47

this is almost positive EV for a moneyline bet which is quite rare, maybe portugal anon knows something about this game. because boavista has the worst home record in the portugese league at 0W 3D 5L and has only scored 2 goals in those 8 matches. they have failed to score a goal in 11/17 matches overall, and in 6/8 home matches so far this season. casa pia is on a 5 match unbeaten streak, 3W 2D, and has 3W 2D 3L when playing away, with those 3L coming against the "big 3" of benfica, sporting, and porto. if you were to exclude those 3L they have only conceded 4 goals in 5 matches when playing away. the goal line and team goals has this priced to be close, looking at a 1-0 or even 1-1 game. these two teams have played each other the first week of the season, with boavista winning 0-1 with the match decided on a penalty, but boavista plays much better on the road than at home, with 9 of their 12 points coming away from home.

I wanted to take the over in number of games in Monfils game, kek...

Can’t get odds on it but I want to bet on Grecia/ Carmelita for goals tomorrow
Is this an available for anyone else ?

ended up taking chelsea+btts@+155

>>146789372
eagles defense is very good

>>146794198
desu the snow kept them in the rams game

>>146794226
barkley kept them in the game and he will do it again

hate siriani. hate reid
half my roll on eagles chefs ML
emotional hedge maxxing

fraudulent stat nigga real quiet after my joshies beat them ravens

can wolves score?

>>146794491
>fraudulent stat nigga
He's not fraudulent! Take that back.

Anyone betting on world university hockey????

Udinese has some value.

>>146794491
haha I posted already, calling myself out, and admitting you were right
>>146753131
although, with the snow, it makes the script a lot harder to control
the game 100% should have gone to overtime, can't believe Andrews dropped that 2 point conversion

Ohio State 38-7

>>146794491
Glad you won your bet anon but don’t act like Buffalo was the better team lol. Baltimore was clearly the right pick

>>146794366
>lines moving steadily in my favor
shit

>>146796336
notre dame wins because NCAA and TV are punishing the conferences for ruining everything

>>146794711
Chelsea's defence has been pretty dog shit so I would bet on Wolves scoring.

>>146794366
but enough about harley reid and the west coast eagles

>>146796333
i debated between O1.5 1H goals or BTTS/O2.5 in this turkish league match and got it hopelessly wrong obviously.

Was on rapid Bucarest first to score rommy
Sadly not in first half, but overall, so low odds
Still good to take
Might take them again

>>146795810
>can't believe Andrews dropped that 2 point conversion
He got the call from Goodell to drop it

starting to think it might be a bad idea to bet on basketball moneylines

>>146796688
What game????

>>146796336
>>146796408
ND doesn’t have the offense. If OSU scores 20 it’s over

>>146796688
i do pretty well with it but need to wait for action. bet on teams to return to form. stay inside +-300
bulls and knicks are due for wins with good payouts today but i dont like betting on hawks and clippers games because theyre so inconsistent

>>146796712
thats what should happen but sounds like bad television (and bad business) to me

>>146796712
ND wins cause catholics get the first championship

>>146796703
hornets and mavericks
>>146796824
heard apparently bball is good for player stats but shit for moneyline but cbf checking stats most of the time when there's so much sportsball

>>146796869
definitely takes time regardless of what you bet on. i lost a couple bets against the pelicans because i didnt take the time to check zion status

>>146796869
I took O214.5 and 222.5. Need the game to be close.

>>146796869
>heard apparently bball is good for player stats but shit for moneyline
i have had some good wins but i have also been burned a lot on props that seem to be on their way and then everyone gets benched halfway through the 3Q because the game is a blowout and the regular season doesn't matter.

>>146797060
I experience the same doing soccer prop bets, where a player will get subbed out just before they hit whatever prop I had them on, it's been happening a lot more these days than usual. At least in basketball, they could always come back in the game.

Now I only ever make team prop bets or I combine players in different teams.

Fuck didnt cashout O222.5

Last time redskins were in the playoffs like this they went to the owl im backing them big. Daniels has an insane release and makes every throw plus they don't let people hit him like they should he's gonna tire out the eagles fat defensive line

>>146796415
way too early, but i don't like their chances lol

>>146773221
That was actually helpful.

Betting on buffalo /kraken goals (fp) and STL/VGK goals. Might do correct score 1-1 for TBL/TML if they go well.

late goals when the goals bet is already busted are just rubbing it in

i bet chelsea+btts@+155 :)

NBA early noon games fucking trap

need wolves/grizz OT

they flashed a full stake cashout for this COL-MIN over and then when i went for it, cut 5 bucks off of it.

>>146798259
>STL/VGK goals
what makes you like this one?

>>146799710
Just both of them are scoring well lately

>>146772257
>isn't that like third division?
Yes
>do you have inside info?
No, lmao. I use good ol' fashioned stats, and apparently not very good because this week I would be at a 18%loss. Of the 10 games I only got half right.

Anyway last day of the week
>Agricultores vs Durango
Agricultores @ 3.75

>Getting home from work and seeing all the early window NBA props that would have hit if you had been able to play them
>Fanduel No Sweat NBA promo for SGP/SGP+ wagers but, the Warriors/Celtics game and Jazz/Pelicans game don't have SGP options

Guess I'm spamming the Bulls/Clippers game for any hope of salvaging something.

>>146800306
Looks like a goal game to me

>>146799750
3 in the 1st, looks like an easy hit. once again wishing i put more money on it.

>>146791859
sorry for the long essay second time i said to expect a 1-0 game from casa pia and then ended up crushing the other team. my new favorite team.

>>146800761
Yeah I’m only betting first periods and some other silly things. I actually hit 3FPG for both of those games. I’ll still do under for the islanders even though I hate betting under and probably over for jets/utah but the other games I will fade unless u have any advice

Also all the Mexican women games hit 2fhg again, I’ll try the last one which I thought looked the best but every single match hitting makes it a bit spooky

>>146800865
i'm actually taking the over on the isles game

>>146800909
Kek ok

>>146800761
any ROI is good ROI

>>146800865
fuck is 3FPG
3 feriods per goal?

zach werenski over 2.5 shots on goal @ 2.32, guy is on fire now, 18 points and 54 shots on goal in his last 10 games, he is now 1 point behind cale makar for most points by an nhl defenseman.

Let's go!!
Before the game started, looking at both of their depth charts and thought to myself
>how the fuck will the Celtics not win by 10 points when GSW have 5 of their main 10 out of the game, and Celtics don't have a single player out
>even without these injuries, I would expect the Celtics to win by 10 with ease
so I made a larger than normal (for me) bet
not in my wildest dreams did I expect them to win by FORTY points lmao
absolutely humiliating defeat for GSW
sorry for not posting the tip before the game started

>>146800980
my thinking is similar to the philly game where the over hit with the isles -- columbus is leaky on the year, so they may help the islanders offensive problems play up a little. and the islanders are middle of the pack in goals against, they aren't lock down so columbus should be able to do the heavy lifting and maybe grab an empty netter at the end if needed.

>>146801062
>2.32
where are you getting that price? it's at -168 for me.

>>146801110
don't feel bad about not posting tips
i'd post some but don't want people to lose money and i'm not spergy enough in the way of sports stats yet, most of my winning bets are just by feel

>>146800713
Agree. Last season Agricultores were the 4th best offensive and the 6th worst defense. Their games averaged 4 goals per game.

90% sure it will be over 1.5

small live bet - Jazz / Pelicans under 230.5
very slow start for Pelicans, only 6 points with 6 mins left 1st quarter
a ton of starters out for Jazz

>>146802159
do you still recommend

>>146802354
Mmm
Jazz had a freakish 1st quarter, getting 38, Pelicans 19 (57 combined)
If keeping this same pace 57 a quarter, would end at 228 (under)
however, it would be extremely freakish for Jazz to continue getting 30+ per quarter with how many players they have out (also would expect Pelicans to get more than 19 a quarter lol)
however, at 57 points, 230 - 57 = 173
divided by 3 remaining quarters = 57.6 per quarter, or, each team scoring 28+ points per quarter
It is no longer as attractive, but it is still very possible
For perspective, last time Jazz / Pelicans played less than a week ago it was 123-136 (clearly over 230 haha) however, Pelicans scored ~40 points 1st quarter in that game

>>146801140
3 goals from the isles. now i'm a little worried if columbus will hold up their end lol.

and the over in the TOR-TBL game looks like a wet fart

Giddey PRA changed after lonzo ball was going to play. From 27.5 to 26.5

>>146803146
I don’t want people to lose more money on Giddey but no ayo and no Coby should be good for his scoring. Ill tempt fate with some kind of ass/reb/pts multi

>>146803320
i took his O6.5 on assists yesterday, and he did end up with 4 so it's whatever, but he basically stopped doing anything after the 1Q then got benched, so it's clear that he's not really got a starting spot all wrapped up.

>>146803378
Welll Ball isn’t going to take his spot. They are trying to pump up vuc and lavines numbers for trades atm but the whole team is a bit of a basket case until they get rid of Lavine at least

The only team that beat both the iggles and loins this year was the busc. Commies beat them, then the lions, and now they go for the rubber against the old has been eagles.

>>146803471
I do think there's a higher chance than being repped at +210 for Commanders (32%) to beat the Eagles
Daniels has been playing very on point; Barkley just hurt his hand / wrist (largely negligible) but Jalen Hurts twisting his knee he looked like a sitting duck afterward - perhaps by Sunday it'll have largely healed

>>146803471
>>146803779
I know you hate the stats analysis..
but it is going to be an uphill battle for the Commanders - they have the #29 rushing defense (3rd to last) this is a bad match-up with the Barkley heavy rushing style of play for Eagles

any btts+o2.5 plays for CL tomorrow?

i got a couple in mind, but you soccer gurus lemme know if any should be a lock

so far, considering
>red star vs psv btts+o2.5
>monaco vs aston villa btts+o2.5

>>146802467
>now i'm a little worried if columbus will hold up their end lol.
they did not. not how i saw this one playing out. maybe should have pulled the plug after the 2nd period.

>>146804071
gonna run a lotto here

>>146802159
Kek mate are you gonna get killed by overtime? Unlucky

>>146802159
Oh my fucking god.. of course..
>pic related
Would have had it, now fucked by overtime
Lol. Oh well, at least it was a small bet

>>146803857
they held bucs to 101 and lions 3 headed monster to 200. barkley put up 150 and 2 and still lost last time they met

>>146804567
yeah i was eyeing bologna-dortmund. dortmund looked shellshocked in that frankfurt match, though.

>>146803857
analysis is fine you just gotta remember its an entertainment first product and thats in the fine print lol

so galatasaray vs dynamo kiev tomorrow. not sure if i want to touch it, but galatasaray has conceded in every europa league match and kiev has only scored ONE goal across it's 6 matches, all losses.

team to get the most corners - galatasary
race to 5 corners - galatasary
galatasary
race to 3 corners - atalanta
atalanta
2 same game parlays @ 2.25

So much money is coming in on the bills they might flip the line and I will hammer the chiefies so hard

>>146803146
>>146803320
Did this
These prop bets are really hard tho you really have to know the rotations

>>146805675
you might have to consider a small potential problem with the new format of the europa and champions league, not in terms of the tournament itself, but for people betting on games. now that they play 8 games instead of 6, with 2 of them happen in january, a lot of european leagues are on a pause for a winter break. some countrys havent actually played a competitive game this calendar year yet. for example dynamo kiev, red star belgrade, and most nordic teams, (there are more but i dont know them all off the top of my head). i dont know how much that will affect them, but you have to imagine 1 side that has played 4-5 league matches vs 1 side that has only played a few friendlies might be at an advantage. even though they took away the "away goals" rule i still dont think that changed the fact that in european matches its hard for the away side to score a goal. i really dont see a situation where dynamo kiev will be able to match the intensity of galatasaray and score enough away goals to win the game.

>>146796824
magic today

soon.

dont know shit about tennis but i have a strong feeling djokovic wins the tourney if he holds on and gets past alcaraz

>>146807179
only way that line flips is if mahomes dies.

>>146810063
lmao it happened just last year
I wouldn’t be surprised if it happens again

All in on Jamal Pogues?

which soccer matches are we losing money on today?

>>146811063
365 boosted alvarez over 0.5 shots on target to even money so i took that but it will probably lose.
set up a nice hedge for newcastle to blow a 2 goal lead on saturday, that will definitely lose but i'll still make a few nickles

>>146811141
> alvarez
isn’t he the one who lost to djokovic this morning?

>>146811234
julian alvarez for madrid. dont know anything about him but they boosted it 120% so i had to take the value

>>146805675
i did end up taking the BTTS and it just hit. hit on O1.5 1H goals, too. galatasaray is a very reliable goals betting club.

NEW

>>146812021
>>146812021

>>146812028
too early